Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
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گردباد برتا كه نتيجه بهم خوردن نظم جت استريم است باعث طوفان و سيل در انگلستان شده
11 August 2014 Last updated at 05:32 ET Share this pageFacebookTwitterPrint
UK weather still affected by ex-hurricane Bertha
This home in the Fens was left completely surrounded, as Richard Daniel reports
Continue reading the main story
Related Stories
Travel warning after storm hits
Heavy showers follow torrential rain
Rain puts homes at risk of flooding
Parts of England and Scotland are continuing to be affected by high winds and rain brought by the remnants of what was Hurricane Bertha.
The Met Office issued a "be prepared" amber warning for rain in Scotland - in Grampian, Highlands and Eilean Siar.
A wider yellow "be aware" warning is in place across eastern and northern Scotland, and north-east England.
And floods are expected in parts of Scotland, on the Somerset coast and in Warrington.
The Environment Agency has issued four flood warnings - meaning floods are "expected" - and more than 25 alerts for the affected parts of England.
The Scottish Environment Agency has more than 30 flood warnings in place, covering Aberdeenshire, Caithness and Sutherland, Findhorn and Nairn, Moray, Tayside and Speyside.
By early Monday morning, Lossiemouth in Moray, Scotland had recorded almost a month's rainfall in 12 hours, while gusts of 50mph swept through Aberdeenshire.
Scottish motorists are warned to expect disruption with some roads in Moray and the Highlands badly affected.
Meanwhile, train services have been suspended between Aberdeen and Inverness due to the weather problems. Replacement road transport will run where road conditions allow.
A Met Office satellite image shows the storm over Scotland and the North Sea at 09:00 BST on Monday
Newlyweds Katy and Richard Owen had a wet wedding at Wentworth Castle Gardens near Barnsley
Trees were brought down by strong winds in Hull
Heavy rainfall swept the country including in Waltham, North East Lincolnshire
BBC weather forecaster Carol Kirkwood said gusty winds and blustery showers would continue across the UK "for a time yet" - particularly in eastern parts of Scotland and north-east England.
She said it was still going to be "pretty wet" in parts throughout the afternoon.
"For tomorrow, the weather front producing all this rain is still very much with us, but saying that, it will start to fragment and we will start to see the rain amounts break down," she said.
The AA warned drivers to beware of localised surface flooding and strong winds, while Police Scotland warned of possible "flooding in low-lying land, roads and to rivers which could cause delays to early morning traffic" on Monday.
In Wales, strong winds in the south have led to restrictions on the M48 Severn Bridge but it is still open.
A flypast over the White Cliffs of Dover to commemorate 100 years since the first WW1 aerial deployment has been postponed because of the weather.
The Then and Now flypast of WW1 planes alongside RAF Tornado jets is now scheduled to take place on Tuesday.
The weather brought disruption around the country over the weekend:
In Hull, trees were brought down, damaging cars and blocking roads, when what residents called a "mini-tornado" swept through one area
The RideLondon-Surrey 100 cycle race was shortened by 14 miles to 86 miles, and altered to avoid Leith Hill and Box Hill in Surrey
Yacht race organisers postponed the Sevenstar Round Britain and Ireland Race for 21 hours. The race was rescheduled to start at 09:00 BST on Monday
Brittany Ferries cancelled all sailings between Portsmouth and Cherbourg, while services on the Scillonian ferry, which operates between Penzance and the Isles of Scilly, were called off
The last day of the Boardmasters festival in Newquay was cancelled because of the bad weather
Some ferry services leaving Rathlin and Ballycastle in Northern Ireland were cancelled
A mass balloon ascent in Bristol was called off
A woman in her 60s was airlifted to hospital after being hit by a tree which blew down at Fleet Pond nature reserve in Hampshire. Her injuries are not thought to be life-threatening.
Fire crews in Norfolk, Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire pumped gallons of water out of swamped houses, while marooned drivers had to abandon their cars as they became stuck in flooded roads.
Flash flooding struck areas of Cardiff, amid heavy thunderstorms across southern England and Wales.
Waves crashed against a lighthouse in Newhaven, East Sussex
Hurricane Bertha hit Caribbean islands last Monday before dissipating over the central Atlantic.
The storm now crossing the UK is a low-pressure system which has picked up moisture and energy left over from Bertha.
Craig Woolhouse of the Environment Agency said that while these storms were not as bad as those from last winter, people should still stay clear of at-risk areas such as seaside promenades.
11 August 2014 Last updated at 05:32 ET Share this pageFacebookTwitterPrint
UK weather still affected by ex-hurricane Bertha
This home in the Fens was left completely surrounded, as Richard Daniel reports
Continue reading the main story
Related Stories
Travel warning after storm hits
Heavy showers follow torrential rain
Rain puts homes at risk of flooding
Parts of England and Scotland are continuing to be affected by high winds and rain brought by the remnants of what was Hurricane Bertha.
The Met Office issued a "be prepared" amber warning for rain in Scotland - in Grampian, Highlands and Eilean Siar.
A wider yellow "be aware" warning is in place across eastern and northern Scotland, and north-east England.
And floods are expected in parts of Scotland, on the Somerset coast and in Warrington.
The Environment Agency has issued four flood warnings - meaning floods are "expected" - and more than 25 alerts for the affected parts of England.
The Scottish Environment Agency has more than 30 flood warnings in place, covering Aberdeenshire, Caithness and Sutherland, Findhorn and Nairn, Moray, Tayside and Speyside.
By early Monday morning, Lossiemouth in Moray, Scotland had recorded almost a month's rainfall in 12 hours, while gusts of 50mph swept through Aberdeenshire.
Scottish motorists are warned to expect disruption with some roads in Moray and the Highlands badly affected.
Meanwhile, train services have been suspended between Aberdeen and Inverness due to the weather problems. Replacement road transport will run where road conditions allow.
A Met Office satellite image shows the storm over Scotland and the North Sea at 09:00 BST on Monday
Newlyweds Katy and Richard Owen had a wet wedding at Wentworth Castle Gardens near Barnsley
Trees were brought down by strong winds in Hull
Heavy rainfall swept the country including in Waltham, North East Lincolnshire
BBC weather forecaster Carol Kirkwood said gusty winds and blustery showers would continue across the UK "for a time yet" - particularly in eastern parts of Scotland and north-east England.
She said it was still going to be "pretty wet" in parts throughout the afternoon.
"For tomorrow, the weather front producing all this rain is still very much with us, but saying that, it will start to fragment and we will start to see the rain amounts break down," she said.
The AA warned drivers to beware of localised surface flooding and strong winds, while Police Scotland warned of possible "flooding in low-lying land, roads and to rivers which could cause delays to early morning traffic" on Monday.
In Wales, strong winds in the south have led to restrictions on the M48 Severn Bridge but it is still open.
A flypast over the White Cliffs of Dover to commemorate 100 years since the first WW1 aerial deployment has been postponed because of the weather.
The Then and Now flypast of WW1 planes alongside RAF Tornado jets is now scheduled to take place on Tuesday.
The weather brought disruption around the country over the weekend:
In Hull, trees were brought down, damaging cars and blocking roads, when what residents called a "mini-tornado" swept through one area
The RideLondon-Surrey 100 cycle race was shortened by 14 miles to 86 miles, and altered to avoid Leith Hill and Box Hill in Surrey
Yacht race organisers postponed the Sevenstar Round Britain and Ireland Race for 21 hours. The race was rescheduled to start at 09:00 BST on Monday
Brittany Ferries cancelled all sailings between Portsmouth and Cherbourg, while services on the Scillonian ferry, which operates between Penzance and the Isles of Scilly, were called off
The last day of the Boardmasters festival in Newquay was cancelled because of the bad weather
Some ferry services leaving Rathlin and Ballycastle in Northern Ireland were cancelled
A mass balloon ascent in Bristol was called off
A woman in her 60s was airlifted to hospital after being hit by a tree which blew down at Fleet Pond nature reserve in Hampshire. Her injuries are not thought to be life-threatening.
Fire crews in Norfolk, Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire pumped gallons of water out of swamped houses, while marooned drivers had to abandon their cars as they became stuck in flooded roads.
Flash flooding struck areas of Cardiff, amid heavy thunderstorms across southern England and Wales.
Waves crashed against a lighthouse in Newhaven, East Sussex
Hurricane Bertha hit Caribbean islands last Monday before dissipating over the central Atlantic.
The storm now crossing the UK is a low-pressure system which has picked up moisture and energy left over from Bertha.
Craig Woolhouse of the Environment Agency said that while these storms were not as bad as those from last winter, people should still stay clear of at-risk areas such as seaside promenades.
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
محمد بجنورد
کاربر ويژه
درود بر دوستان عزیز
سحر بخیر و نیکی..آخرین آبدیت جی اف اس تا این ساعت..
سحر بخیر و نیکی..آخرین آبدیت جی اف اس تا این ساعت..
محمد بجنورد
کاربر ويژه
آخ آخ آخ..اگه یه دو سانت در نقشه بارش ها بیان پایین خیلی خیلی خوب میشه آ!!!تو واقعیت هم یه 100 کیلومتر!!!
aliasgar57
کاربر ويژه
با سلام خدمت همه دوستان :گل:
دیدن این تصاویر در این روزهای گرم تابستان واقعا لذت بخش است.
مشهد - آبشار اخلمد
مشاهده پیوست 58248
دیدن این تصاویر در این روزهای گرم تابستان واقعا لذت بخش است.
مشهد - آبشار اخلمد
مشاهده پیوست 58248
aliasgar57
کاربر ويژه
آخ آخ آخ..اگه یه دو سانت در نقشه بارش ها بیان پایین خیلی خیلی خوب میشه آ!!!تو واقعیت هم یه 100 کیلومتر!!!
آخ آخ آخ !!! که اگه یه دو سانتی هم میامد به سمت راست دیگه چی میشد:خنده2:
aliasgar57
کاربر ويژه
به گزارش بنا ، فریبا گودرزی در گفت‌و‌گویی اظهار داشت: با نفوذ هوای خنک از امروز تا شنبه در سواحل جنوبی دریای خزر کاهش ۴ تا ۷ درجه‌ای دما در دامنه‌های البرز و شمال شرق پیش‌بینی می‌شود.
وی با بیان اینکه امروز در استان گلستان و شرق مازندارن بارش پراکنده باران همراه با رعد و برق خواهیم داشت، گفت: پنج‌شنبه و جمعه هفته جاری با تقویت جریانات شمالی، بارش باران در استان گیلان و مازندارن و خراسان شمالی افزوده می‌شود.
این کارشناس سازمان هواشناسی افزود: در این مدت شمال استان البرز، تهران و قزوین و خراسان رضوی رگبار باران و رعدو برق و وزش باد پیش‌بینی شده است.
گودرزی بیان کرد: بیش‌ترین بارش باران در پنج‌شنبه و جمعه در خراسان شمالی، گلستان و شرق مازندارن خواهد بود و در ارتفاعات تهران (آبعلی، لواسان، رودهن و فیروزکوه) نیز بارش پراکنده خواهیم داشت. همچنین باید بگویم از امروز تا شنبه هفته آینده دریای خزر، مواج و متلاطم است.
وی با بیان اینکه امشب برای برخی از مناطق جنوب کشور بارش باران و رعد و برق پیش‌بینی می‌شود، ادامه داد: شرق کشور به خصوص زابل طی ۳ روز آینده شاهد گرد و خاک خواهد بود.
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
درود بر دوستان عزیز
اخرین آپدیت SOI
اخرین آپدیت SOI
عکاسی دیدنی از سردترین دماهای نیمکره شمالی زمین
یاکوتسک تا اویمیاکن
http://visityakutia.com/the-worlds-...myakon-magadan-yakutia-kolyma-siberia-russia/
یاکوتسک تا اویمیاکن
http://visityakutia.com/the-worlds-...myakon-magadan-yakutia-kolyma-siberia-russia/
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
لحظاتی پیش بررسی میانگین دمای اب در ناحیه نینو 3.4 رو از ماههای سپتامبر تا دسامبر برای شهر مشهد بصورت مشخص انجام دادم و نتایج بسیار مطلوب بود.
اول از همه اینکه میانگین نرمال بارش مشهد در ماه اکتبر:8 میلیمتر- نوامبر16.1 میلیمتر و دسامبر 24.3 میلیمتر هست ( بر اساس دوره آماری 1951 تا 2011 میلادی )
چنانچه دمای آب در ناحیه نینو 3.4 در طی ماههای اکتبر-نوامبر و دسامبر بصورت میانگین در رنج 0.8+ باشه شهر مشهد بصورت مشخص با بارش بیشتر از نرمال مواجه خواهد بود!
بصورت شماتیک 0.8+ یعنی النینوی ضعیف !
نتیجه اینکه بارش شهر مشهد در طی ماههای پاییز با نوسانات انسو دارای همبستگی مثبت میباشد!
چنانچه میانگین دمای آب در ناحیه نینو 3.4 در رنج 1+ یا 1.2 + مثبت باشه ( النینوی کلاسیک) بارش شهر مشهد در ماه دسامبر بیشتر از نرمال میشه ولی در ماههای اکتبر و نوامبر با افت قابل توجه بارش در مقایسه با نرمال بلند مدت مواجه خواهد شد!
اول از همه اینکه میانگین نرمال بارش مشهد در ماه اکتبر:8 میلیمتر- نوامبر16.1 میلیمتر و دسامبر 24.3 میلیمتر هست ( بر اساس دوره آماری 1951 تا 2011 میلادی )
چنانچه دمای آب در ناحیه نینو 3.4 در طی ماههای اکتبر-نوامبر و دسامبر بصورت میانگین در رنج 0.8+ باشه شهر مشهد بصورت مشخص با بارش بیشتر از نرمال مواجه خواهد بود!
بصورت شماتیک 0.8+ یعنی النینوی ضعیف !
نتیجه اینکه بارش شهر مشهد در طی ماههای پاییز با نوسانات انسو دارای همبستگی مثبت میباشد!
چنانچه میانگین دمای آب در ناحیه نینو 3.4 در رنج 1+ یا 1.2 + مثبت باشه ( النینوی کلاسیک) بارش شهر مشهد در ماه دسامبر بیشتر از نرمال میشه ولی در ماههای اکتبر و نوامبر با افت قابل توجه بارش در مقایسه با نرمال بلند مدت مواجه خواهد شد!
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
نکته قابل تامل دیگه ای که از این تحلیل بدست آوردم این بود که آنومالی دمای آب اقیانوس هند یا همون IOD در سالهای مورد بحث سردتر از نرمال بوده پس بارش شهر مشهد در طی ماههای پاییز با IOD اقیانوس دارای همبستگی مثبت نمی باشد!
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
نکته قابل توجه دیگه بررسی این بود که در سالهای وقوع النینو کلاسیک در ماه سپتامبر چنانچه با بارش بیشتر از نرمال مواجه باشیم در ماههای اکتبر و نوامبر با افت قابل توجه بارش مواجه خواهیم بود.
میانگین نرمال بارش مشهد در طی ماه سپتامبر 2.1 میلیمتر میباشد!
میانگین نرمال بارش مشهد در طی ماه سپتامبر 2.1 میلیمتر میباشد!
- وضعیت