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توجه: در صورتی که از کاربران قدیمی ایران انجمن هستید و امکان ورود به سایت را ندارید، میتوانید با آیدی altin_admin@ در تلگرام تماس حاصل نمایید.
مباحث عمومی هواشناسی
- شروع کننده موضوع Amir Mohsen
- تاریخ شروع
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۱) نحوه تخمگذاری جغدها:
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۳ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده خشکسالی در پیش رو است.
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۴ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده وضعیت آب و هوایی در حد نرمال است.
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۵ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده وضعیت آب و هوایی بسیار عالی و پر بارشی را پیش رو داریم.
۲) با توجه به لانه سازی حفارها (موشهای کور):
همانطور که میدانید و به احتمال فراوان مشاهده کرده اید، موشهای کور لانه خود را مانند تپه های کوچک بالا می آورند.
● اگر مشاهده کردید که تپه ها و دهانه لانه موش کور نسبت به مشاهدات قبلیتان خاک زیادی بالا زده بدانید جانور در حال حفر لانه عمیقتری می باشد.چون این موجود میداند که زمستان سخت و پر برفی در راه است و لانه اش را عمیقتر از گذشته حفر می کند.
۳) با توجه با نحوه فعالیت مورچه ها:
● هر چه فعالیت مورچه ها در امر غذا بردن به لانه و انبار سازی بیشتر باشد، بدانید که در آینده خشکسالی خواهد آمد و مورچه ها این قضیه را درک کرده و با بردن غذای بیشتر به لانه و انبار آن در صدد رفع نیاز و گذر از خشکسالی پیش رویشان هستند.
۴) با توجه به مهاجرت پرندگان مهاجر:
● اگر پرندگان مهاجر نسبت به سالهای قبل زودتر به مهاجرت بپردازند نشانه این است که زمستان زودتر فرا می رسد.
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۳ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده خشکسالی در پیش رو است.
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۴ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده وضعیت آب و هوایی در حد نرمال است.
● اگر جغد در لانه اش ۵ تخم بگذارد بدین معناست که ماههای آینده وضعیت آب و هوایی بسیار عالی و پر بارشی را پیش رو داریم.
۲) با توجه به لانه سازی حفارها (موشهای کور):
همانطور که میدانید و به احتمال فراوان مشاهده کرده اید، موشهای کور لانه خود را مانند تپه های کوچک بالا می آورند.
● اگر مشاهده کردید که تپه ها و دهانه لانه موش کور نسبت به مشاهدات قبلیتان خاک زیادی بالا زده بدانید جانور در حال حفر لانه عمیقتری می باشد.چون این موجود میداند که زمستان سخت و پر برفی در راه است و لانه اش را عمیقتر از گذشته حفر می کند.
۳) با توجه با نحوه فعالیت مورچه ها:
● هر چه فعالیت مورچه ها در امر غذا بردن به لانه و انبار سازی بیشتر باشد، بدانید که در آینده خشکسالی خواهد آمد و مورچه ها این قضیه را درک کرده و با بردن غذای بیشتر به لانه و انبار آن در صدد رفع نیاز و گذر از خشکسالی پیش رویشان هستند.
۴) با توجه به مهاجرت پرندگان مهاجر:
● اگر پرندگان مهاجر نسبت به سالهای قبل زودتر به مهاجرت بپردازند نشانه این است که زمستان زودتر فرا می رسد.
ارادت دارم درس پس ميدم :گل:
اين هم مقاله اى در مورد شاخص دهه اى PDO كه پس از سالها به فاز مثبت بازگشت
http://ewrc.sharif.edu/pdf_folder/11192 Ashouri.pdf
فاز مثبت اين نوسان ، ال نينو و IOD را قوت ميبخشه ..
انشالله كه ساير شاخصهاى دهه اى هم به فاز مناسب برن ..
اين هم مقاله اى در مورد شاخص دهه اى PDO كه پس از سالها به فاز مثبت بازگشت
http://ewrc.sharif.edu/pdf_folder/11192 Ashouri.pdf
فاز مثبت اين نوسان ، ال نينو و IOD را قوت ميبخشه ..
انشالله كه ساير شاخصهاى دهه اى هم به فاز مناسب برن ..
محمدرضا ...
New member
با سلام ...این جی اف اس هم که باز شروع کرد به اون اپدیتهای لج درار خودش...
سلام به دوستان فرهاد جان وبلاگ باحال وبا صفایی داریتخم كبك هاي گليل .اين پرنده تا 18 تخم هم ديديم كه گذاشتهhttp://golilshirvan.blogfa.com/
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Didn't get a chance to post these until now. My wife works at a mall in Wyomissing, PA which is suburb of Reading, PA. Huge hail storm on Thursday afternoon. Her vehicle got damaged as did thousands of others.
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Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
More hail storm pictures from Thursday on or near route 222 going through Wyomissing, PA area just outside of Reading, PA.
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Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Final pictures from Thurday's hail storm.
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Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
[h=2]In Eastern Pacific: As El Nino Gathers – Strongest May Hurricane on Record [h=3]May 26, 2014
Accuweather:
Accuweather:
Amanda became the strongest May eastern Pacific hurricane on record Sunday morning a peak winds approached that of a Category 5 hurricane.
Amanda’s maximum sustained winds increased to near 155 mph and its central pressure dropped to 932 millibars by 11 a.m. PDT Sunday, meaning Amanda was very powerful Category 4 hurricane.
Although Amanda has weakened some from its peak strength, sustained winds remain at Category 4 strength as the storm moves slowly northward over the eastern Pacific.
Adolph from 2001 originally held the distinction of strongest May hurricane in the basin. At the peak of Adolph’s intensity, the central pressure bottomed out at 940 millibars and winds were nearly 145 mph.
Below, reposting part 1 of my recent interview with Kevin Trenberth – at about 4:30 begins to discuss hurricanes in eastern pacific, but good contextual info on anomalous warmth as El Nino builds.Amanda’s maximum sustained winds increased to near 155 mph and its central pressure dropped to 932 millibars by 11 a.m. PDT Sunday, meaning Amanda was very powerful Category 4 hurricane.
Although Amanda has weakened some from its peak strength, sustained winds remain at Category 4 strength as the storm moves slowly northward over the eastern Pacific.
Adolph from 2001 originally held the distinction of strongest May hurricane in the basin. At the peak of Adolph’s intensity, the central pressure bottomed out at 940 millibars and winds were nearly 145 mph.
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
‘Moderate’ El Niño may be felt next month By Rainier Allan Ronda (The Philippine Star) | Updated May 27, 2014 - 12:00am
0 10 googleplus0 0
MANILA, Philippines - A moderate El Niño weather phenomenon is seen coming into the country in the next few months.
Speaking to reporters in General Santos City yesterday, Vicente Malano, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) acting director, said the numerical computational models they were using to monitor the sea surface temperature anomaly in the Pacific Ocean indicated a “moderate” El Niño that might come in June.
“It will not be as bad as the 1997-1998 El Niño that we had in the country. We’re seeing a moderate El Niño,” he said.
Malano spoke at the opening of the two-day disaster imagination workshop for SOCCSKSARGEN region of the Department of Science and Technology (DOST)’s “Iba Na Ang Panahon (INAP): Science for Safer Communities” national road show.
El Niño is defined by prolonged warming in the Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures when compared with the average.
Meanwhile, Archbishop of Manila Luis Antonio Cardinal Tagle has asked the faithful to pray for rain.
Headlines ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1
In a circular, Tagle said the Archdiocese of Manila can include the Oratio imperata or mandatory prayers for rain in the daily and Sunday Masses beginning May 18.
“Let us together storm heavens with our supplication, that God’s mercy be upon us and send us the rain we need,” he said. “It is the time for our rainy season and yet the rains have not come. People tasked with managing our water/power resources have warned that we face a crisis in those areas. Our relief will come from nature. And so we implore the Master of all creation, God, our Father, at whose command the winds and the seas obey, to send us rain.”
The country, especially Luzon, badly needs rain to avert damage to crops and other livelihood and prevent a power shortage, Tagle said.
Malano said they are not ruling out possible revision of the onset of El Niño.
The sea surface temperature anomaly level of .4 over the Pacific Ocean the past few months – which had led the DOST and PAGASA to declare the onset of El Niño probably by June – has gone down, he added.
A sea surface temperature anomaly level of .5 is considered an El Niño condition, PAGASA weather scientists said.
In the 1997 El Niño phenomenon in the country, the sea surface temperature anomaly level had reached 1 degree and brought severe heat and less rainfall, he added.
Mindanao must make sure to always be ready with disaster risk reduction and management plans because it has been seeing an increasing number of typhoons in recent years, Malano said.
The disaster imagination workshop in General Santos City is the homestretch of DOST’s INAP national road show, which started in Central Luzon the first week of March in Clark.
The INAP is a collaboration between the DOST, Department of the Interior and Local Government, and the Office of Civil Defense. The SOCCSKSARGEN stop is the second to the last leg of the information and education campaign for disaster mitigation and preparedness.
It is being held at the KCC Convention Center in General Santos City.
The city has just reorganized its City Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council for a more effective disaster management program. The regional information and education campaign constitutes a nationwide road show, which began in March 2014 to equip local governments with disaster information via science-based tools like 3D hazard maps, flood models, Project NOAH website navigation familiarization, hazard simulation software, and mobile applications.
Provincial governors, city and municipal mayors, disaster risk reduction and city planning officers, as well as local government consultants are enjoined to attend the two-day event which focuses on local hazard risks in the region. – With Evelyn Macairan
0 10 googleplus0 0
MANILA, Philippines - A moderate El Niño weather phenomenon is seen coming into the country in the next few months.
Speaking to reporters in General Santos City yesterday, Vicente Malano, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) acting director, said the numerical computational models they were using to monitor the sea surface temperature anomaly in the Pacific Ocean indicated a “moderate” El Niño that might come in June.
“It will not be as bad as the 1997-1998 El Niño that we had in the country. We’re seeing a moderate El Niño,” he said.
Malano spoke at the opening of the two-day disaster imagination workshop for SOCCSKSARGEN region of the Department of Science and Technology (DOST)’s “Iba Na Ang Panahon (INAP): Science for Safer Communities” national road show.
El Niño is defined by prolonged warming in the Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures when compared with the average.
Meanwhile, Archbishop of Manila Luis Antonio Cardinal Tagle has asked the faithful to pray for rain.
Headlines ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1
In a circular, Tagle said the Archdiocese of Manila can include the Oratio imperata or mandatory prayers for rain in the daily and Sunday Masses beginning May 18.
“Let us together storm heavens with our supplication, that God’s mercy be upon us and send us the rain we need,” he said. “It is the time for our rainy season and yet the rains have not come. People tasked with managing our water/power resources have warned that we face a crisis in those areas. Our relief will come from nature. And so we implore the Master of all creation, God, our Father, at whose command the winds and the seas obey, to send us rain.”
The country, especially Luzon, badly needs rain to avert damage to crops and other livelihood and prevent a power shortage, Tagle said.
Malano said they are not ruling out possible revision of the onset of El Niño.
The sea surface temperature anomaly level of .4 over the Pacific Ocean the past few months – which had led the DOST and PAGASA to declare the onset of El Niño probably by June – has gone down, he added.
A sea surface temperature anomaly level of .5 is considered an El Niño condition, PAGASA weather scientists said.
In the 1997 El Niño phenomenon in the country, the sea surface temperature anomaly level had reached 1 degree and brought severe heat and less rainfall, he added.
Mindanao must make sure to always be ready with disaster risk reduction and management plans because it has been seeing an increasing number of typhoons in recent years, Malano said.
The disaster imagination workshop in General Santos City is the homestretch of DOST’s INAP national road show, which started in Central Luzon the first week of March in Clark.
The INAP is a collaboration between the DOST, Department of the Interior and Local Government, and the Office of Civil Defense. The SOCCSKSARGEN stop is the second to the last leg of the information and education campaign for disaster mitigation and preparedness.
It is being held at the KCC Convention Center in General Santos City.
The city has just reorganized its City Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council for a more effective disaster management program. The regional information and education campaign constitutes a nationwide road show, which began in March 2014 to equip local governments with disaster information via science-based tools like 3D hazard maps, flood models, Project NOAH website navigation familiarization, hazard simulation software, and mobile applications.
Provincial governors, city and municipal mayors, disaster risk reduction and city planning officers, as well as local government consultants are enjoined to attend the two-day event which focuses on local hazard risks in the region. – With Evelyn Macairan
محمدرضا ...
New member
یهنی این نقشه های بلند مدت دوزار نمی ارزه به خدا مثلا تا دیروز مشهد خیلی فراتر از نرمال بود الان کمتر از نرمان با شدت متوسط شد...
Amir-Hossein
کاربر ويژه
سلام به همه دوستان عزیزم
روزهای خوبی در انتظار ماست انشاءالله...
روزهای خوبی در انتظار ماست انشاءالله...
| Tue 5/27/2014 | 33° | 20° | 3 mm | 0 CM |
| 28° | 16° |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 5/28/2014 | 35° | 19° | 3 mm | 0 CM |
| 28° | 16° |
| Thu 5/29/2014 | 33° | 18° | 5 mm | 0 CM |
| 28° | 16° |
| Fri 5/30/2014 | 29° | 17° | 6 mm | 0 CM |
| 28° | 16° |
| Sat 5/31/2014 | 29° | 18° | 3 mm | 0 CM |
| 29° | 16° |
- وضعیت