Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
نیروی دریایی- تجمعی بارش تا 144 ساعت آینده:
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چه پيش بيني خوبي اگه محقق بشه كه خيلي خوبهنیروی دریایی- تجمعی بارش تا 144 ساعت آینده:
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
هواشناسی کانادا تا 150 ساعت آینده:
تا 240 ساعت آینده:
تا 240 ساعت آینده:
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
سلام
نیروی دریایی کلا واسه این سامانه برای منطقه ما داره خیلی خوب پیش بینی میکنه و تقریبا بیشتر آپدیتهاش هم مشابه هست.
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
سد گلول شيروان جمعه كه رفتيم خيلي عالي بود
یادش بخیر فرهاد عزیز
چه زحماتی من اینجا کشیدم!!!!!!!!:ناراحت::گل:
یک دنیا در تمام فصول سال عکس دارم ازش.
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
خواهش میکنم.
نه آب سد به زمینهای زراعی روستای میانلانلو منتقل میشه:
اینهم یک عکس دیگه:
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
دقیقا قرار هست این زمینها رو مشروب کنه:
عكس مال امساله درسته
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
مهر 1392
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
روزیکه داشتیم سنگ یابود سد رو نصب میکردیم که احتمالا اون لوح فلزی روش رو باید کنده باشند تا حالا!
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
[h=3]Unprecedented warmth as El Nino brews in the Pacific Max Gonzalez, Monday May 19, 2014 - 12:05 EST The fact that Australia is enduring an unprecedented warm spell is hardly breaking news to anyone these days. Rather than feeling like we are two weeks from the beginning of winter it feels like we are still at the tail-end of summer.
Further east, the Pacific Ocean has been steadily warming up over the past months. The heating effect has not only affected the ocean surface (which you would expect with a warming atmosphere over it) but also in the sub-surface. In fact, the oceanic temperature of the equatorial Pacific at depth (top one kilometre of the ocean) has reached unprecedented levels. Last March saw the warmest subsurface waters for that month since 1979 while April was the second warmest, only second to April 1997.
International forecasting models are all in agreement that the oceanic temperatures will continue to warm up over the coming months reaching El Nino thresholds by early summer. Some models even have these temperatures reaching the threshold as early as winter.
Now, the 3 most important thing to remember is that:
1) El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a coupled phenomena and has an oceanic component as well as an atmospheric component (the latter being more difficult to forecast so far in advance). The main atmospheric response being the weakening of the trade winds across the Pacific.
2) Although El Nino events are associated with below average rainfall (weaker trade winds bringing less moisture from the Pacific Ocean) in eastern and southern Australia and above average temperatures, not all El Nino events have the same effects on Australian weather.
3) There is no direct correlation between the intensity of an event and its effects in Australia, i.e. a strong El Nino might not necessarily bring a significant drought or extreme heat while a weaker one might. Currently, there is a lot of research going on to differentiate between different types of El Ninos depending on where the warming is occurring in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
In the short term, this warm weather will continue over southern and eastern Australia for much of the week with a high pressure system over the Tasman keeping most cold fronts at bay. During the weekend a front will sweep across southern parts of the nation bringing some cooling. This system is likely to bring daytime temperatures down to about average, with a drop in night-time temperatures being the most significant.
- Weatherzone
© Weatherzone 2014
Further east, the Pacific Ocean has been steadily warming up over the past months. The heating effect has not only affected the ocean surface (which you would expect with a warming atmosphere over it) but also in the sub-surface. In fact, the oceanic temperature of the equatorial Pacific at depth (top one kilometre of the ocean) has reached unprecedented levels. Last March saw the warmest subsurface waters for that month since 1979 while April was the second warmest, only second to April 1997.
International forecasting models are all in agreement that the oceanic temperatures will continue to warm up over the coming months reaching El Nino thresholds by early summer. Some models even have these temperatures reaching the threshold as early as winter.
Now, the 3 most important thing to remember is that:
1) El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a coupled phenomena and has an oceanic component as well as an atmospheric component (the latter being more difficult to forecast so far in advance). The main atmospheric response being the weakening of the trade winds across the Pacific.
2) Although El Nino events are associated with below average rainfall (weaker trade winds bringing less moisture from the Pacific Ocean) in eastern and southern Australia and above average temperatures, not all El Nino events have the same effects on Australian weather.
3) There is no direct correlation between the intensity of an event and its effects in Australia, i.e. a strong El Nino might not necessarily bring a significant drought or extreme heat while a weaker one might. Currently, there is a lot of research going on to differentiate between different types of El Ninos depending on where the warming is occurring in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
In the short term, this warm weather will continue over southern and eastern Australia for much of the week with a high pressure system over the Tasman keeping most cold fronts at bay. During the weekend a front will sweep across southern parts of the nation bringing some cooling. This system is likely to bring daytime temperatures down to about average, with a drop in night-time temperatures being the most significant.
- Weatherzone
© Weatherzone 2014
Amir Mohsen
متخصص بخش هواشناسی
Surface sea temperatures are building in the Pacific making an early summer El Nino more likely. Credit NOAA via Climate CentralEarly Summer El Nino + Global Warming Likely to Set Heat Recordsreports Andrea Thompson at Climate Central. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting that an El Nino weather cycle could start between May and July.
This will likely warm global temperatures more than expected, although the extreme effects on US temperatures probably won’t be felt until fall or winter. Some experts are predicting it will be the strongest El Nino in decades. Check out this great video El Nino 2014: What Are the Odds? to find out more
This will likely warm global temperatures more than expected, although the extreme effects on US temperatures probably won’t be felt until fall or winter. Some experts are predicting it will be the strongest El Nino in decades. Check out this great video El Nino 2014: What Are the Odds? to find out more
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