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مباحث عمومی هواشناسی

وضعیت
موضوع بسته شده است.

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
ولی من نه بچه اصفهونم ونه یزد/دادا

هر جور دوست دارید.:خنده1:

تا نگید کجاست که من نمی تونم در مورد آب و هوای شهرتون خوشحالتون کنم:سکوت::خنده1:

بهرحال همه ایران سرای من است :گل: از آشنایی باهتون خیلی خوشحالم و بهترین آرزوها رو واستون دارم، موفق و شاد باشید:گل:
 

mohamad$

کاربر ويژه
هفته بعد پر فشار شمالی داریم ولی بازم سرماش زیاد نیست . برای سواحل بارون پیشبینی شده . برای تهران هم فقط شمال شهر و تا حدی نقاط مرکزی شهر شانس برف دارند البته با پیشبینی نروژ
 

saeed hh

کاربر ويژه
هفته بعد پر فشار شمالی داریم ولی بازم سرماش زیاد نیست . برای سواحل بارون پیشبینی شده . برای تهران هم فقط شمال شهر و تا حدی نقاط مرکزی شهر شانس برف دارند البته با پیشبینی نروژ

به نظرت احتمال داره تقویت بشه؟؟؟
 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
خوب نروژ واسه ما در روز پنجشنبه هفته آینده 12 میلیمتر پیش بینی کرده

دو جالت داره یا تا فردا میکنش 14 میلیمتر بعدش یک دفعه ای غش میکنه میزنه 0.6 میلیمتر بعد می بینی 20 میلیمتر بارید یا اینکه از اون پیش بینی های فضائیش میکنه و میزنه 30 میلیمتر برف در دمای 5- زیر صفر بعد می بینی در روز موعد هوا صاف ، آفتابی جون میده واسه حموم آفتاب:خنده1::سکوت:

Friday15 FebruarySaturday16 FebruarySunday17 FebruaryMonday18 FebruaryTuesday19 FebruaryWednesday20 FebruaryThursday21 FebruaryFriday22 FebruarySaturday23 FebruarySunday24 February
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13°11°10°
0 mm precipitation per 24 hours0 mm precipitation per 24 hours1.4 mm precipitation per 24 hours3.3 mm precipitation per 24 hours0.4 mm precipitation per 24 hours0 mm precipitation per 24 hours12 mm precipitation per 24 hours1.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours0 mm precipitation per 24 hours0.2 mm precipitation per 24 hours
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Long term forecast
 

mohamad$

کاربر ويژه
بعدشم در مورد نروژ یه چیزی بگم بر اساس تجربه که به اون پیشبینی هاییش میشه اعتماد کرد که تو چند تا اپدیت مرتب تکرار بشه . یعنی اگر یهو بارش و برداره و یا یهو زیاد کنه نمیشه روش حساب کرد . برای مشهد اخرین اپدیتش یهو کم کرد در حالی که تو چندین روز مرتب بارش خوبی زده بود و اون محقق شد .
 

Abbath

New member
هفته بعد پر فشار شمالی داریم ولی بازم سرماش زیاد نیست . برای سواحل بارون پیشبینی شده . برای تهران هم فقط شمال شهر و تا حدی نقاط مرکزی شهر شانس برف دارند البته با پیشبینی نروژ

شاید هم شمال غربی باشه البته،چون به سمت تهران میایم از شدت سرما کم میشه

پیش بینی نروژ برای قزوین



 
آخرین ویرایش:

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
سایت اکیوریت ودر میزان بارش قطعی مشهد رو در امروز 21 میلیمتر اعلام کرده!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thu
2/14/2013
-1°21 mm0.6 CM
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A mix of snow and rain
-3°


[h=4]Day
N
E
S
W


  • ESE 11 km/h
  • Gusts: 42 km/h
A mix of snow and rain


  • Max UV Index: 2 (Low)
  • Thunderstorms: 24%
  • Precipitation: 21 mm
  • Rain: 21 mm
  • Snow: 0.6 CM
  • Ice: 0 mm
  • Hours of Precipitation: 8.5 hrs
  • Hours of Rain: 8.5 hrs



http://www.accuweather.com/en/ir/mashhad/209737/daily-weather-forecast/209737?day=1
 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
[h=2]Snowstorm Parade to Continue in US Next Week
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[h=6]By Meghan Evans, Meteorologist [h=5]February 14, 2013; 1:30 PM
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AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Bernie Rayno discusses the storm parade next week.
A major storm may come together to bring wind-whipped snow to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region early next week, while severe storms could ignite on the southern edge.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio may get travel-disrupting snow from the storm during the Monday-Tuesday time frame of next week.
There is potential for snow to fall in Chicago, Green Bay, Indianapolis and Detroit. Gusty winds up to 40 mph could reduce visibility further and add to travel impacts from the storm.
RELATED:
Weekend Snowstorm to Hit Part of I-95
Snow Precedes Cold in Ohio, Tennessee Valleys

On the back edge of the storm, some snow may even reach areas farther south such as St. Louis and Cincinnati.
By Tuesday night and Wednesday, the storm may swing across Canada, bringing snow from the northern mid-Atlantic and much of New England to Quebec. Again, gusty winds may accompany the round of snow, adding to travel disruptions.
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Strong to severe storms may also be a threat along the southern edge of the storm; however, a limiting factor will be cold air that will surge south over this weekend. The cold air will flush out moisture that has been in place recently to fuel severe thunderstorms.
"The Gulf Coast is most likely to regenerate conditions favorable for severe weather," AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.
Southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and perhaps Tennessee may be in the path of damaging thunderstorms on Tuesday.
The parade of storms will continue through late next week.
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Image from Photos.com
Another, potentially bigger, storm will strengthen across the Plains next Thursday. A round of heavy snow may be in store for portions of the Plains, Midwest and Great Lakes. Chicago may get a second round of snow.
The storm could move on to spread snow into the mid-Atlantic and New England by next Friday.

 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
[h=2]Weekend Snowstorm to Create I-95 Travel Troubles
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[h=6]By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist [h=5]February 14, 2013; 11:33 AM
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A storm, that AccuWeather.com meteorologists have been monitoring for a week, will bring some snow to portions of the mid-Atlantic, New England and Atlantic Canada this weekend.
This will be a last-minute developing storm situation, and there may be significant adjustments to the forecast moving into the first part of the weekend.
RELATED:
Snow Precedes Cold in Ohio, Tennessee Valleys
Snowstorm Parade to Continue in US Next Week

The odds are against a storm coming anywhere close to the magnitude the New England Blizzard of 2013. However, this storm could develop quickly enough to cause travel problems in some areas. AccuWeather.com will continue to analyze the pattern to provide updates on the storm potential.
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Weighing the averages, this is AccuWeather.com's early estimate of snowfall for non-paved surfaces for the snowstorm this weekend (Feb. 16-17, 2013). A larger version of this map is available on the AccuWeather.com Winter Weather Center site.
Below is the latest interpretation of the pattern and general forecasts broken up by region:
The early developing stage of the storm is likely to bring a relatively small amount of snow to the central Appalachians and the upper mid-Atlantic coast Friday night into Saturday. This would be a rain changing to snow situation for most coastal areas. Road conditions would range from just wet with a bit of melting snow at the end to potentially slippery and snow covered.
As the storm continues to organize while moving northward just offshore, light to moderate snow is more likely to fall over central and southern New England Saturday. There could be enough snow to shovel and plow from portions of Long Island, northward to Massachusetts.
The storm will begin to fire on more cylinders Saturday night into Sunday over northern New England, eastern Quebec, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia, where it could evolve into a blizzard. In some of these northern areas, there is the potential for a foot of wind-whipped snow.
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There is still the potential for the storm to develop quickly, in which case it would track or turn closer to the coast, producing heavier snow farther west and south.
As the storm begins to strengthen and spin faster and faster, winds will kick up along the East coast and will help to drive cold air all the way to South Florida and the northwestern Caribbean.
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A Stormy Couple of Weeks Ahead
The overall weather pattern will remain very busy as far as storms crossing the country through the end of February. Storms will roll in from the northern Pacific Ocean, southeastward along the Rockies, dip toward the Gulf of Mexico grabbing moisture, then will swing northeastward up the East Coast or alternatively toward the Great Lakes.
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The rather volatile pattern has the potential to bring more heavy snow to cities, like Boston, that have seen a great deal of snow of late and could break the snow drought for cities in the Midwest, like Chicago.
In addition to rounds of severe weather and episodes of heavy rain in the South, the characteristics of the storms across the north will be in the form of heavy rain and/or heavy snow.
One storm could bring heavy snow, adding to an already deep snowcover in some locations. Another storm could then come along with a quick warmup and heavy rain, leading to a rapid meltdown of that snowcover, raising the risk of flooding.
While it is not unusual to get a couple of big storms like this during the late winter, the pattern will tend to pack a half-dozen major storms in a period of two to three weeks.
This story was originally published at 10:00 a.m. EST, Thurs., Feb. 14, 2013.
 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
[h=2]Major, Shallow Earthquake Rattles Siberia With Strong Shaking
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[h=6]By Grace Muller, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer [h=5]February 14, 2013; 10:00 AM
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A magnitude-6.6 earthquake has rattled an area 82 miles west-southwest of Druzhina, Siberia.
Internal stresses within the earth are what drive earthquakes. Earthquakes are a release of an enormous amount of energy. The energy, once it is released, radiates outwards in the earth. The nearer the energy-releasing rupture within the earth takes place, the stronger the potential shaking is at the earth's surface.
In a very deep earthquake, the shaking would have radiated out over a great volume of rock before reaching the surface. In a shallow quake, the shock can still be very powerful as it reaches the surface.
"It's rather like a bomb blast," AccuWeather meteorologist Jim Andrews said. "One block away from it, it may flatten your house; 100 miles away, you might not have noticed that it happened because the energy radiated, and dissipated, outward."
 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
اینقدر به محسن گفتم یا اسم سیبری شوخی نکن ، گوش نکرد!!!!!!!!!!!!!:سکوت:

اینهم نتیجه اش شد زلزله 6.6 ریشتری!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:سکوت:
 

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
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Thinning Ice Is Turning Arctic into an Algae Hotspot
  • Published: February 14th, 2013



By Lauren Morello
Follow @lmorello_dc
Shrinking, thinning Arctic sea ice appears to be accelerating the growth of algae in polar waters, a new study finds, a development that could alter the region’s ability to absorb carbon from the atmosphere.

Scientists cruising central Arctic waters last summer aboard the research ship Polarstern were stunned to discover dense, shaggy deposits of the algae Melosira arctica clinging to the bottom of sea ice.
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The green color of water in a melt pond atop Arctic sea ice hints at the riotous growth of algae under its surface.
Credit: Stefan Hendricks/Alfred Wegener Institute

Though researchers all the way back to 19th-century Norwegian explorer Fridtjof Nansen had noted colonies of Melosira hanging under the ice, they had always assumed the algae prospered in areas covered by thick “multi-year” ice that had survived several summer melt seasons.
That wasn’t the case last summer. The Polarstern crew found large clumps of the algae growing in areas covered by ice that was just 3 feet thick, not 10.
Stranger still, when the researchers sent high-powered cameras to the ocean floor — using a small, unmanned robot and other equipment — they found it blanketed with lush green clumps of algae.

“I was shocked when I sat there on board the ship and these images came up,” said the new study’s lead author, Antje Boetius, a biological oceanographer at the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research in Germany. “I was really screaming. Even the captain came down to look at what was going on. The sailors said, ‘How is it possible that the sea floor is green?’ ”

The research, published Thursday in Science, adds to a small but growing body of evidence that suggests the ongoing decline of Arctic sea ice is changing life in polar waters.
A significant increase in the growth of oceanic plants like algae could pull more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, and ultimately trap it in the deep ocean as larger organisms eat those plants, or they decay and sink to deep water.

“I think it’s a good paper,” said Kevin Arrigo, a biological oceanographer at Stanford University. “It’s interesting that it basically provides another example of the importance of loss of sea ice, and potential increases in (ocean plant growth in) the Arctic.”
Arrigo discovered his own polar surprise in summer 2011, when he led a NASA research cruise to the Chukchi Sea. His group found a massive — and unexpected — blooms of phytoplankton growing under sea ice there.
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Researchers on the summer 2012 Polarstern cruise sample sea ice in the central Arctic.
Credit: Christian Katlein/Alfred Wegener Institute

The scientists, who published their findings last year in Science, believe that thinning sea ice is allowing more light to penetrate Arctic waters, which in turn spurs surprisingly fervent growth of undersea plant life.
That’s the same cause suggested by the authors of the new study. Researchers also believe that melt ponds that form atop sea ice each summer increase the amount of light streaming to the sea below.
“With multi-year ice, it’s been around many seasons. It’s got lots of hummocks on its surface, so its has deep melt ponds that cover a small surface area,” said C.J. Mundy, a biological oceanographer at the University of Manitoba who was not involved with the new study or the NASA research. “On first-year sea ice, you have a relatively smooth surface.”
That produces shallower ponds with a larger footprint, he said. And those ponds “are like windows to let light through the sea ice,” transmitting about half the sunlight that is visible on the surface.
Boetius and her colleagues on the Polarstern cruise believe that, in the case of Melosira, that increased light spurred unusually rapid growth of algae. And that algae, which would have frozen into multi-year ice in the past, was unmoored in an Arctic with less — and thinner — ice, and sunk to the sea floor in large numbers.
“You get much more light, and you get that light earlier in the (summer) season,” Boetius said. “That’s the new Arctic.”
But researchers still aren’t sure what the ultimate impact of that “new Arctic” will be on tiny oceanic plants like phytoplankton and algae.

A dive into a melt pond on sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean to explore algae growing underneath.
Credit: Mar Fernández-Méndez/Alfred Wegener Institute.
The area covered by Arctic sea ice is growing smaller. It reached a new summer low last year, shattering the previous record set in 2007 by 16 percent.
And the Arctic’s sea ice is also growing thinner. The latest satellite measurements show ice volume decreased 36 percent in autumn and 9 percent in winter between 2003 and 2012.

Those changes in Arctic sea ice could ultimately pull more carbon from the atmosphere, if plankton and algae growth increases over a large enough swath of the Arctic.
But scientists aren’t sure that is what’s going to happen.
“The Arctic has very little in terms of nutrients” in its waters to fuel algal blooms, Boetius said. So as ice thins and shrinks, a few years of explosive algal growth could deplete nutrients in the surface ocean -- nutrients that may be slow to replenish.
But that is not the only possibility.
“If, as the ice retreats, we’re increasingly able to tap the nutrients we find in deep Arctic basins, [plant growth] may continue to increase,” Arrigo said. “I think we just don’t know right now.”

 

hamed2148

کاربر ويژه
فقط يك سئوال اساسي و بي پاسخ مي مونه و اون اينه آيا سرماي هفته بعد از طرف اروپا وارد ميشه ويا از شمال دريا و روسيه ؟؟؟
 
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