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توجه: در صورتی که از کاربران قدیمی ایران انجمن هستید و امکان ورود به سایت را ندارید، میتوانید با آیدی altin_admin@ در تلگرام تماس حاصل نمایید.
مباحث عمومی هواشناسی
- شروع کننده موضوع Amir Mohsen
- تاریخ شروع
- وضعیت
محمد بجنورد
کاربر ويژه
شرمنده محمدرضاجان..یادم رفته بود این پستت رو جواب بدم..
:خنده1:،والا سختی راه تا قوچانه و بقیه ش تا بجنورد بنظر من خبری نخواهد بود..اگرم دیدیم قبل حرکت هوای مشهد خوب نیست؛برنمیگردیم..البته من ک از خدامه ک برگردیمو تو برف گیر کنیم ولی خب چون با خانواده هستیم دلم نمیخواد مشکلی واسه خانواده م پیش بیاد..وگرنه من خودم میخوام شهید در راه برف بشم!!!:خنده1:
ali_kermanshah
کاربر ويژه
برای پیشبینی بازه ی 5-4 روزه مدل gfsبهتره یا ecmwf ??
mohamad1361
New member
گرگان برف چنداني نخواهد داشت و فقط سرما حس ميشه چونكه روي گلستان داره واگرايي اتفاق ميفته. ولي غرب سواحل برف خوبي دارن.
alirezamousavi
New member
همه شمال شرقی هاوحخصوصا مشهدی تبریک .gfs. توی اپدیت الانش برای ما ترکونده:شاد2:
January 26, 2014 (notes updated January 27, 2014)
ENSO forecast: We expect El Nino will start evolving in late boreal spring and reach its height in the latter half of 2014.
Indian Ocean forecast: We find a bifurcation in the prediction plume. One is a neutral state in the tropical Indian Ocean; another is a weak positive IOD event starting in early boreal summer of 2014.
Regional forecast: In the Southern Hemisphere, as a seasonally averaged view, South Africa, western Australia, and eastern Brazil will experience colder-than-normal condition in the austral fall, while central Africa, eastern Australia, and a western part of the South American continent will be in a warmer-than-normal condition.
In the Northern Hemisphere, most part of Europe, Russia, China, Far East (including Japan), Canada, and U.S. will experience a warmer-than-normal condition in the boreal spring, while U.K., Middle East, and India will be in a slightly colder-than-normal condition. Southeast Asia (possibly related to possible evolution of El Nino), Japan, and West Africa will be in a drier-than-normal condition in the boreal spring, while precipitation over South Africa and Australia will be in a normal state as a seasonal average.
However, we must be careful about the above seasonal averaged view. In March, we expect a colder-than normal condition in the Far East. In Australia, we expect a rather wet condition in the western Australia in March but drier-than-normal condition in overall Australia, particularly in the northern part in April. Our skill to predict those intra-seasonal variations need to be improved more.
http://wxmaps.org
نو شده !!!
ENSO forecast: We expect El Nino will start evolving in late boreal spring and reach its height in the latter half of 2014.
Indian Ocean forecast: We find a bifurcation in the prediction plume. One is a neutral state in the tropical Indian Ocean; another is a weak positive IOD event starting in early boreal summer of 2014.
Regional forecast: In the Southern Hemisphere, as a seasonally averaged view, South Africa, western Australia, and eastern Brazil will experience colder-than-normal condition in the austral fall, while central Africa, eastern Australia, and a western part of the South American continent will be in a warmer-than-normal condition.
In the Northern Hemisphere, most part of Europe, Russia, China, Far East (including Japan), Canada, and U.S. will experience a warmer-than-normal condition in the boreal spring, while U.K., Middle East, and India will be in a slightly colder-than-normal condition. Southeast Asia (possibly related to possible evolution of El Nino), Japan, and West Africa will be in a drier-than-normal condition in the boreal spring, while precipitation over South Africa and Australia will be in a normal state as a seasonal average.
However, we must be careful about the above seasonal averaged view. In March, we expect a colder-than normal condition in the Far East. In Australia, we expect a rather wet condition in the western Australia in March but drier-than-normal condition in overall Australia, particularly in the northern part in April. Our skill to predict those intra-seasonal variations need to be improved more.
http://wxmaps.org
نو شده !!!
محمد بجنورد
کاربر ويژه
:ناراحت::ناراحت:
درود آرش جان
من میترسم همین مقدار کمی هم ک برف پیش بینی شده نباره!!!خداکنه ک غافلگیر شیم وگرنه...
شهاب از بوشهر
کاربر ويژه
درود.
اجتماع بارش برف تا 120 ساعت اینده:
اجتماع بارش برف تا 120 ساعت اینده:
شهاب از بوشهر
کاربر ويژه
اینو فقط میذارم تا با دمای هفته بعد مقایسه کنم
شهر سرخس 26 درجه ای در 8 بهمن 92 البته به قول محسن عزیز اختلاف دمای هفته اینده اش با این هقته بسیار قابل توجه خواهد بود .
امشب رستگار میشید دیگه نه؟:گل:
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