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تجزیه و تحلیل وضعیت جوی در سال زراعی 93-94 /فصل اول( مهر- آبان-آذر)

وضعیت
موضوع بسته شده است.
H

heaven1

مدیر بخش هواشناسی
0ixsea6lkvfp00ks79.png
 
S

seyyedalireza

مدیر موقت
هوا کم کم داره ابری میشه؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
 
H

heaven1

مدیر بخش هواشناسی
اميرمحسن:
دارم متقاعد ميشم که 20 روز اول ماه دسامبر هواي سردي ايران و در بر ميگيره که شدتش هم بر روي شمال شرقه ايرانه
 
A

Amir-Hossein

کاربر ويژه
سلام به همه عزیزان
روز جمعه رفته بودم طرفای جاغرق... جاتون خـ...ــالـــ...ــــی هوا عــــاااالی بود ، رودخونه ها پر آب و...
کلی هم عکس از این طبیعت بکر پاییزی گرفتم که چند تا رو براتون گلچین کردم
ببخشید نتونستم زودتر از این بذارم

تقدیم به همه دوستان

جمعه 16 آبان 1393 / ارتفاعات جاغرق (طرقبه)

جاغرق مشهد - جاغرق مشهد​

جاغرق مشهد - جاغرق مشهد​

طرقبه - طرقبه​

طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق - طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق​

طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق - طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق​

طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق - طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق​

طبیعت پاییزی طرقبه - طبیعت پاییزی طرقبه​

طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق - طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق​

طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق - طبیعت پاییزی جاغرق​

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A

Ahmad7777

New member
آقا امیرحسین عکسها بی نهایت زیبا بود.لذت بردیم.:گل::گل:
در ضمن یک تشکر هم از آقا مشکین طاعتی میکنم که عکاس عکسهای 10 سال پیش بارش برف رشت بود.:گل::گل::گل:
 
A

Amir Mohsen

متخصص بخش هواشناسی
El Niño Outlook
( November 2014 - May 2015 )
Last Updated: 10 November 2014
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  • ENSO neutral conditions continued, though SSTs in the eastern equatorial Pacific returned to above normal and the ocean state evolved toward El Niño conditions.
  • Although the continuation of ENSO neutral conditions may be possible, it is more likely that El Niño conditions will have developed in winter.
  • We may have a possibility to make the diagnosis that El Niño conditions emerged in this summer, which depend on the oceanic conditions in the coming months.
[El Niño / La Niña] In October 2014, the NINO.3 SST was above normal with a deviation of +0.7°C (Table and Fig.1). SSTs were above normal in the western and eastern equatorial Pacific (Fig.2 and Fig.4). Subsurface temperatures were above normal in the western and central equatorial Pacific (Fig.3 and Fig.5). Atmospheric convective activities were near normal from near the date line to the eastern equatorial Pacific, and easterly winds in the lower troposphere were also near normal in the central equatorial Pacific (Fig.5, Fig.6 and Fig.7). These oceanic and atmospheric conditions indicate that ENSO neutral conditions continued in the equatorial Pacific though the ocean state evolved toward El Niño conditions.
The subsurface warm waters in the equatorial Pacific in October (Fig.3) tend to maintain warmer-than-normal SSTs in the eastern part. The JMA's El Niño prediction model predicts that the NINO.3 SST will be near normal or above normal during the northern hemisphere winter and spring (Fig.9). In conclusion, although the continuation of ENSO neutral conditions may be possible, it is more likely that El Niño conditions will have developed in winter. We may have a possibility to make the diagnosis that El Niño conditions emerged in this summer, which depend on the oceanic conditions in the coming months.

[Western Pacific and Indian Ocean]
The area-averaged SST in the tropical western Pacific (NINO.WEST) region was near normal in October (Fig.1). It is likely that the NINO.WEST SST will be near normal or below normal in the northern hemisphere winter and spring (Fig.10).
The area-averaged SST in the tropical Indian Ocean (IOBW) region was near normal in October (Fig.1). It is likely that the IOBW SST will be near normal in the northern hemisphere winter and spring (Fig.11).

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Produced by Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency ​
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